Episode notes
The 2025 off-year elections produced a series of decisive, large-margin victories for the Democratic Party, signaling significant political momentum. In the key gubernatorial races in New Jersey and Virginia, Democratic candidates outperformed polling expectations by a substantial margin, securing victories of 13 and 15.2 points, respectively. Historical analysis presented in the source suggests these results are reasonably predictive of a strong Democratic performance in the following year's U.S. House elections. These wins, coupled with legislative gains, have secured Democratic trifectas in both states, positioning them for aggressive gerrymandering efforts.
Concurrently, California's Proposition 50 passed overwhelmingly in what was effectively a referendum on Donald Trump, whose opposition to the measure was a central theme of the "Yes" ...
Keywords
congresseconomicspolitics