Episode notes
Covering social and demographics - as STEEP bucket and how to use it in scenarios
Demographics:
Foundation of a country
Age structure and economic growth
Application for geopolitics:
China is ageing and needs resources to care, might become difficult to grow quickly
US can depend on immigration, but not always - with the Trump Admin interruption
EU is tricky - immigration is now weaponised
China-boosters claiming rapid growth looks like a really tall order
Needs to change culture and society radically
Demographics is an example of a pre-determined trend
Uncertainty and Impactful
Social ideologies are impact but highly uncertain
Analysts must avoid ...
Keywords
politicsscenario planningsocialdemographicsimmigration