Stonkcast | Podcast on RSS.com

Stonkcast

by Brandon Schaar

Entrepreneurship Investing

Season 2

SpaceX Stock Is CRASHING — Down 33% and Retail Is Trapped (SPCX)

📅 New episodes every Thursday at 6AM ET and Sunday at 7PM ET — market updates, prep, momentum plays, and trade ideas. 💸 Support Stonkcast: If you're getting value, consider buying Brandon a coffee or helping cover production costs. 🔗 https://paypal.me/stonkcast 📈 Level Up Your Charts: Get $15 off TradingView — the charting platform I trust every day. 🔗 https://tradingview.com/?aff_id=154886 🛒 Shop Stonkcast Merch: 🔗 http://stonkcast-shop.fourthwall.com/collections/all 🐦 Follow on X: 🔗 http://x.com/StonkcastShow 🎧 Listen On-the-Go: Catch every episode on your favorite podcast app. 🔗 https://pod.link/1791475353 SpaceX is down 33% one month after the most hyped IPO in history. On this Midweek Check-In, we break down how the space trade topped, why record money arrived at exactly the wrong moment, and what China's reusable rocket means for SpaceX going forward. Then: SK Hynix hit the Nasdaq less than a week ago and Wall Street already wrapped it in 2x leveraged ETFs. We explain how these products really work, why they're built for traders (not investors), and what the leveraged-ETF explosion tells us about the AI trade — plus the TSMC earnings verdict. Also on the docket: Trump's options for expanding military operations in Iran and what the Strait of Hormuz risk means for oil, energy, and defense names — and your map for the rest of the week: retail sales, jobless claims, Netflix earnings, Friday's data, and Fed Chair Warsh's first testimony. Stonkcast — the market show for the average Joe. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing involves risk. Always do your own research or consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.

Iran Just CLOSED the Strait of Hormuz — What Happens to Oil Now?

📅 New episodes every Thursday at 6AM ET and Sunday at 7PM ET — market updates, prep, momentum plays, and trade ideas. 💸 Support Stonkcast: If you're getting value, consider buying Brandon a coffee or helping cover production costs. 🔗 https://paypal.me/stonkcast 📈 Level Up Your Charts: Get $15 off TradingView — the charting platform I trust every day. 🔗 https://tradingview.com/?aff_id=154886 🛒 Shop Stonkcast Merch: 🔗 http://stonkcast-shop.fourthwall.com/collections/all 🐦 Follow on X: 🔗 http://x.com/StonkcastShow 🎧 Listen On-the-Go: Catch every episode on your favorite podcast app. 🔗 https://pod.link/1791475353 Iran has declared the Strait of Hormuz closed "until further notice," and the US responded with its third round of strikes this week — roughly 140 targets overnight, more than 300 since Wednesday. We break down what actually happened, whether the strait is truly closed, and what it means for oil, gas prices, and markets heading into the new week. Then the corporate war: Apple's blockbuster lawsuit accusing OpenAI of a coordinated campaign to steal trade secrets for its AI hardware — including a retained MacBook, exploited server access, and job interviews allegedly used to extract Apple secrets. We explain the stakes for OpenAI's IPO ambitions and the fractured Apple-OpenAI partnership. We also cover Meta's 15% surge — its best week since early 2024 — and how a platform pivot, a new coding model, and a custom AI chip flipped Wall Street's narrative on its massive spending. Plus the week ahead: June CPI and the kickoff of big-bank earnings. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing involves risk. Always do your own research or consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.

The Ceasefire Is OVER — Oil Spikes 6% and the Fed Just Named Its Nightmare

📅 New episodes every Thursday at 6AM ET and Sunday at 7PM ET — market updates, prep, momentum plays, and trade ideas. 💸 Support Stonkcast: If you're getting value, consider buying Brandon a coffee or helping cover production costs. 🔗 https://paypal.me/stonkcast 📈 Level Up Your Charts: Get $15 off TradingView — the charting platform I trust every day. 🔗 https://tradingview.com/?aff_id=154886 🛒 Shop Stonkcast Merch: 🔗 http://stonkcast-shop.fourthwall.com/collections/all 🐦 Follow on X: 🔗 http://x.com/StonkcastShow 🎧 Listen On-the-Go: Catch every episode on your favorite podcast app. 🔗 https://pod.link/1791475353 The US-Iran ceasefire is over. After attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, US strikes on more than 80 Iranian targets, and reprisals on American bases, President Trump declared the deal finished — and oil surged nearly 6%, its biggest jump in two months. We break down the full sequence, what it means for gas prices and exposed sectors, and why this spike differs from the war's earlier panic. Then the connection almost nobody made: the Fed's June minutes landed the same day, revealing that some officials argued for an immediate rate hike — and naming Middle East tensions and AI-driven demand as the very scenarios that would force higher rates. Both triggers fired this week. We also cover the stealth correction underway in tech: more than two-thirds of tech stocks are at least 20% off recent highs even as headline indexes set records, and we explain what's really happening to the AI trade. Plus the week ahead: June CPI and the kickoff of bank earnings. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing involves risk. Always do your own research or consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.

Wall Street Called You "Dumb Money" — Now You're Beating Them

📅 New episodes every Thursday at 6AM ET and Sunday at 7PM ET — market updates, prep, momentum plays, and trade ideas. 💸 Support Stonkcast: If you're getting value, consider buying Brandon a coffee or helping cover production costs. 🔗 https://paypal.me/stonkcast 📈 Level Up Your Charts: Get $15 off TradingView — the charting platform I trust every day. 🔗 https://tradingview.com/?aff_id=154886 🛒 Shop Stonkcast Merch: 🔗 http://stonkcast-shop.fourthwall.com/collections/all 🐦 Follow on X: 🔗 http://x.com/StonkcastShow 🎧 Listen On-the-Go: Catch every episode on your favorite podcast app. 🔗 https://pod.link/1791475353 Wall Street spent years calling everyday investors "dumb money." Last year, that money traded $5.4 trillion, hit record inflows, and outperformed the professional index funds. We break down how retail took over the market — and the risk hidden in the win that could leave everyday investors holding the bag. Then we cover Warsh's new Federal Reserve: a chair who has cut the Fed's forward guidance and wants investors to interpret the data themselves. We unpack what a quieter, less predictable Fed means for market volatility, interest rates, and your money. We also dig into the AI trade splitting in two — Meta surging while chipmakers tumble — and what that divergence tells us about the AI cycle and the bubble debate. Finally, the week ahead: the jobs report aftermath, the June Fed minutes, and the start of earnings season. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing involves risk. Always do your own research or consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.

BlackBerry Was a Meme Stock — Now It's a Real AI Company (+170%)

📅 New episodes every Thursday at 6AM ET and Sunday at 7PM ET — market updates, prep, momentum plays, and trade ideas. 💸 Support Stonkcast: If you're getting value, consider buying Brandon a coffee or helping cover production costs. 🔗 https://paypal.me/stonkcast 📈 Level Up Your Charts: Get $15 off TradingView — the charting platform I trust every day. 🔗 https://tradingview.com/?aff_id=154886 🛒 Shop Stonkcast Merch: 🔗 http://stonkcast-shop.fourthwall.com/collections/all 🐦 Follow on X: 🔗 http://x.com/StonkcastShow 🎧 Listen On-the-Go: Catch every episode on your favorite podcast app. 🔗 https://pod.link/1791475353 BlackBerry is back — the former phone giant and 2021 meme stock just hit a 52-week high, up more than 170% this year, this time on real, profitable growth in automotive and "physical AI" software. We break down the blowout earnings, the QNX and NVIDIA story, the Wall Street re-rating, and the valuation risk that comes with a stock priced for perfection. Then we dig into the "Sell America" trade — the year's most popular bet against the dollar, bonds, and US equities — and why American markets keep grinding higher and proving the bears wrong, with a clear read on where stocks, the dollar, and gold stand now. We also cover the Mideast truce cracking again, with attacks on Bahrain and a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, and what it means for oil. We finish with the week ahead: a holiday-shortened stretch with the June jobs report arriving early on Thursday and markets closed Friday for Independence Day. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing involves risk. Always do your own research or consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.

Reddit Is Trying to "Save Wendy's" — and the Stock Just Exploded 42%

📅 New episodes every Thursday at 6AM ET and Sunday at 7PM ET — market updates, prep, momentum plays, and trade ideas. 💸 Support Stonkcast: If you're getting value, consider buying Brandon a coffee or helping cover production costs. 🔗 https://paypal.me/stonkcast 📈 Level Up Your Charts: Get $15 off TradingView — the charting platform I trust every day. 🔗 https://tradingview.com/?aff_id=154886 🛒 Shop Stonkcast Merch: 🔗 http://stonkcast-shop.fourthwall.com/collections/all 🐦 Follow on X: 🔗 http://x.com/StonkcastShow 🎧 Listen On-the-Go: Catch every episode on your favorite podcast app. 🔗 https://pod.link/1791475353 Wendy's became the market's loudest story this week, exploding as much as 42% after a viral "Save Wendy's" campaign on Reddit rallied retail traders into one of the most heavily shorted names in the restaurant group. We break down how short squeezes actually work, whether there's a real turnaround underneath the meme, and the traps that make these moves so dangerous in both directions. Then we cover a split-personality market: AI doubts rattled tech early in the week before Micron's blowout earnings — including a massive $50 billion revenue guide — reignited the AI memory trade. We explain why it matters and the hidden "AI tax" quietly raising the price of phones and PCs. Finally, inflation: why a crash in oil prices doesn't mean the inflation fight is over, the lesser-known triggers that could still push the Fed toward a rate hike, and the May PCE report — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — arriving Thursday morning. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing involves risk. Always do your own research or consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. #StockMarket #Investing #Wendys #MemeStock #ShortSqueeze #Micron #AIStocks #Inflation #PCE #FederalReserve #MidweekCheckIn #Stonkcast

Your 401(k) Is About to Be Forced to Buy SpaceX — Here's What Gets Sold

📅 New episodes every Thursday at 6AM ET and Sunday at 7PM ET — market updates, prep, momentum plays, and trade ideas. 💸 Support Stonkcast: If you're getting value, consider buying Brandon a coffee or helping cover production costs. 🔗 https://paypal.me/stonkcast 📈 Level Up Your Charts: Get $15 off TradingView — the charting platform I trust every day. 🔗 https://tradingview.com/?aff_id=154886 🛒 Shop Stonkcast Merch: 🔗 http://stonkcast-shop.fourthwall.com/collections/all 🐦 Follow on X: 🔗 http://x.com/StonkcastShow 🎧 Listen On-the-Go: Catch every episode on your favorite podcast app. 🔗 https://pod.link/1791475353 In about ten days, index funds inside millions of retirement accounts will be forced to buy SpaceX — a stock with a tiny float that the S&P 500 just declined to add. To make room, those funds have to sell what they already hold: Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft and the rest. This Market Prep explains how the SpaceX index-inclusion process actually works, the key dates, who's mechanically forced to buy, what gets sold to fund it, and why this kind of setup can become a "sell-the-news" event for anyone chasing the hype. We also cover the macro picture in a quieter post-Fed week, and the Iran story most people misread: Tehran announced it closed the Strait of Hormuz again, yet oil barely moved — we break down why the market has stopped reacting. Finally: June's top-performing sectors and where capital rotated, plus a watchlist look at CEVA, a small-cap positioned for AI's shift to the edge — with an honest look at the risks. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing involves risk. Always do your own research or consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. #StockMarket #Investing #SpaceX #IndexFunds #401k #Nasdaq100 #Iran #OilPrices #CEVA #EdgeAI #MarketPrep #Stonkcast

The Fed Wants to HIKE — But Iran Just Blew Up Their Inflation Case

📅 New episodes every Thursday at 6AM ET and Sunday at 7PM ET — market updates, prep, momentum plays, and trade ideas. 💸 Support Stonkcast: If you're getting value, consider buying Brandon a coffee or helping cover production costs. 🔗 https://paypal.me/stonkcast 📈 Level Up Your Charts: Get $15 off TradingView — the charting platform I trust every day. 🔗 https://tradingview.com/?aff_id=154886 🛒 Shop Stonkcast Merch: 🔗 http://stonkcast-shop.fourthwall.com/collections/all 🐦 Follow on X: 🔗 http://x.com/StonkcastShow 🎧 Listen On-the-Go: Catch every episode on your favorite podcast app. 🔗 https://pod.link/1791475353 The Fed just flipped from planning a rate cut to threatening a rate hike — in new Chair Kevin Warsh's first meeting. We break down the hawkish dot plot, the deleted "easing bias," and the market's whipsaw reaction. The twist: a US-Iran framework deal sent oil tumbling just two days earlier, undercutting the inflation case the Fed leaned into. We unpack what that collision means for rates, bonds, and your portfolio. Plus: the staggering retail rush into SpaceX (more than the entire Magnificent Seven combined), its $60 billion Cursor acquisition and the new "FAB 10" idea, a macro check on oil and the cracking AI/semiconductor trade, the hidden catch in the Iran deal, and a short trading week with U.S. markets closed Friday for Juneteenth. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing involves risk. Always do your own research or consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. #StockMarket #Investing #FederalReserve #FOMC #RateHike #SpaceX #Iran #OilPrices #MidweekCheckIn #Stonkcast #AIStocks

SpaceX Just Blasted Off 20% — Now the Fed Could Ground It Wednesday

📅 New episodes every Thursday at 6AM ET and Sunday at 7PM ET — market updates, prep, momentum plays, and trade ideas. 💸 Support Stonkcast: If you're getting value, consider buying Brandon a coffee or helping cover production costs. 🔗 https://paypal.me/stonkcast 📈 Level Up Your Charts: Get $15 off TradingView — the charting platform I trust every day. 🔗 https://tradingview.com/?aff_id=154886 🛒 Shop Stonkcast Merch: 🔗 http://stonkcast-shop.fourthwall.com/collections/all 🐦 Follow on X: 🔗 http://x.com/StonkcastShow 🎧 Listen On-the-Go: Catch every episode on your favorite podcast app. 🔗 https://pod.link/1791475353 SpaceX just became the 6th most valuable company on Earth in one of the biggest IPOs ever — and it's still losing money. Does the market's appetite for big speculative bets survive this week's Fed decision? This Market Prep episode covers the SpaceX IPO and what its $1.77 trillion valuation signals about risk appetite, the full macro picture heading into Wednesday's FOMC decision, and why volatility is staying low even with oil near 52-week highs. We also get into the Iran–Israel escalation threatening U.S. peace talks and pushing crude, and the extraordinary government order that forced Anthropic to suspend its two most powerful AI models just days after release — a real-time stress test for the entire AI IPO wave. Plus the week ahead: the Fed's interest-rate decision and dot plot on Wednesday, the Juneteenth market holiday on Friday, and the sectors most exposed to all of it. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing involves risk. Always do your own research or consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. #StockMarket #Investing #SpaceX #FederalReserve #FOMC #AIStocks #Anthropic #OilPrices #IPO #MarketPrep #Stonkcast

SpaceX Is 4X Oversubscribed and Trades Tomorrow — Here's the Framework for Friday's Open

📅 New episodes every Thursday at 6AM ET and Sunday at 7PM ET — market updates, prep, momentum plays, and trade ideas. 💸 Support Stonkcast: If you're getting value, consider buying Brandon a coffee or helping cover production costs. 🔗 https://paypal.me/stonkcast 📈 Level Up Your Charts: Get $15 off TradingView — the charting platform I trust every day. 🔗 https://tradingview.com/?aff_id=154886 🛒 Shop Stonkcast Merch: 🔗 http://stonkcast-shop.fourthwall.com/collections/all 🐦 Follow on X: 🔗 http://x.com/StonkcastShow 🎧 Listen On-the-Go: Catch every episode on your favorite podcast app. 🔗 https://pod.link/1791475353 SpaceX prices tonight. SPCX trades tomorrow. More than four times the available shares have been bid for, with over $300 billion in demand for a $75 billion offering. This midweek episode is your complete framework for Friday's open — and the macro developments that could define how the first day of trading actually unfolds. Five segments this episode: SpaceX 4X Oversubscribed — The order books closed Wednesday with demand exceeding $300 billion for $75 billion of shares. Pricing is tonight at $135. Morgan Stanley says SpaceX could generate $3.4 trillion in revenue by 2040. Google and Anthropic contracts anchor $26 billion in recurring revenue. Brandon breaks down how retail can get shares through Robinhood, Fidelity, Schwab, SoFi, and E*TRADE, the anti-flipping rules, and his exact framework for approaching the open — including the specific price levels that change the thesis. Macro Dashboard — Full read on SPY, QQQ, IWM, VIX, oil, yields, and Bitcoin heading into the biggest IPO day in market history. The backdrop is more complicated than the hype alone suggests. Iran Escalates — Tuesday night, the U.S. struck Iranian radar and surveillance sites near the Strait of Hormuz after Iran shot down an American Apache helicopter. Trump warned the next response will be "far worse." Iran threatened severe retaliation. The Strait of Hormuz is back in active risk territory, which means oil is back in play as a macro lever. CPI 4.2% — Inflation hit its highest level since April 2023 this morning. Energy prices are up 23.5% year-over-year, gasoline up 40.5%. The headline is driven almost entirely by the Iran war's effect on energy. Core CPI held at 2.9%, which is the one soft spot. Brandon connects the dots between today's inflation print, the Fed's tightening bind, and how discount rates affect the SpaceX valuation directly. Friday Watchlist — SPCX first-day trade and what the close price relative to $135 actually signals. Plus oil names on Iran escalation, MRVL bounce thesis, ASTS, and QQQ as the early proxy for Nasdaq-100 inclusion mechanics. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing involves risk. Always do your own research or consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.

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