Nvidia reports Wednesday, and it's fallen after earnings four straight quarters even after beating.

Nvidia's fiscal Q2 is the biggest event of the week, and it hits Wednesday alongside the July PCE inflation report and the second estimate of Q2 GDP. The Street is looking for about $92 billion in revenue and a gross margin near 75% — but after four straight post-earnings selloffs, the question is whether a beat even matters anymore.

I walk through the numbers that count, the Blackwell-to-Rubin transition, and the China H200 situation, then lay out exactly how I'd trade the setup — my levels and the two other names on my list this week, including the one I'm buying. Plus Jackson Hole, Fed Chair Warsh on Friday, and Canada's new 50% tariffs.

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