Episode notes
16 Feb 2026
Brigadier General Amir Avivi believes war with Iran is imminent, citing President Trump’s warning and Israel’s demands for Iran to dismantle its nuclear and ballistic missile capabilities. He doubts the likelihood of a successful agreement and suggests the US and Israel are aligned in their timeline for a strike, though Israel may act independently if threatened. Avivi also notes regional players’ cautious support for a strike, fearing Iranian retaliation and the potential for regime change to embolden other autocratic regimes.
The Iranian regime is weak and the people of Iran deserve a new regime. The smuggling of weapons into Israel by Iran is a significant threat, undermining Israeli society and sovereignty. The Israeli government is working to define this crime as a national security threat, requiring different tools and capabilities to address effectively.