Episode notes
15 Feb 2026
Over a million people rallied worldwide in support of regime change in Iran, amid escalating tensions and the possibility of a nuclear deal. The US is preparing for potential military action, with multiple carriers positioned in the Middle East, while Iran warns of a regional war if targeted. The situation is complex, with Iran lacking a strong power backer like China or Russia, and the protesters’ voices are not represented in the ongoing Geneva talks.
The US is preparing for a potential conflict with Iran, prioritising overwhelming air power and precision strikes against the regime and its proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis. While diplomatic efforts continue, including talks between the US and Iran, the likelihood of a meaningful nuclear deal is low due to Iran’s history of non-compliance. If diplomatic efforts fail, the US is likely to employ a strategy of decapitation strikes, sanctions, and isolating the IRGC from its command structure, while also countering potential attacks from Iran’s proxies.