Scaling Defense

Scaling Defense

by Preemptive Intelligence Engine
Season 2
Five New Brier Predictions for Week 26: GCAP's Final Countdown, the $3
This Friday predictions short opens five new falsifiable calls to the public Brier ledger: the US Navy F/A-XX SDD downselect between Boeing and Northrop Grumman by September 30 (55%), definitization or production obligation of the $35.33B THAAD sole-source UCA by year-end (55%), Australia's new DDG acquisition entity announcing its first major contract decision by year-end (55%), the House Appropr predictions · Brier ledger · THAAD · Lockheed Martin
Five New Brier Predictions for Week 25: GCAP's Fourteen-Day Clock, AUK
This Friday predictions short opens five new falsifiable calls to the public Brier ledger: the GCAP full development contract signature with Edgewing by June 30 (80%), at least one AUKUS Pillar II undersea-autonomy solicitation by September 30 (65%), a Camden PAC-3 MSE capacity action by year-end (55%), publication of the UK Defence Investment Plan before the Ankara NATO Summit (60%), and BAE Syst
Season 1
The UAE's $2.1B Counter-Drone Emergency Sale
The UAE's $2.1B FS-LIDS counter-drone emergency FMS (Raytheon/RTX + Northrop Grumman), the contract vehicle, and the investor/BD/policy beats.
Israel's Arrow Interceptor Production Surge
Israel's Arrow-3/Arrow-2 ballistic-missile-defense interceptor surge, the industrial-base read on the listed primes, and the dated catalysts to watch.
Lithuania Doubles Its HIMARS Count: The $360.3M DSCA Notification
The April 10 DSCA notification of a $360.3M HIMARS sale to Lithuania, the Camden, Arkansas production constraint, and a logged Brier prediction on the LOA.
Scaling Defense: Series Intro
What Scaling Defense is, who it serves, and the standard every segment meets: named companies, named countries, named programs, every dollar attributed, every prediction scored. Powered by Preemptive Intelligence.