S2Ep107 | Round 4, Priced For Boredom | The Auction That Moved 284 Points Costs Less This Week, 24 Lakh Calls Press 77000, And The Crowd Sets A Fifth Record | 20th August Thursday
The Tanmay Edge | India's pre-market edge, every trading day... by Tanmay Kurtkoti
Episode notes
Last Thursday the closing auction moved the Sensex 284 points in four minutes after freezing for eleven. Everybody watched it. So here is the remarkable thing about round four, which expires today: the market has priced it CHEAPER. Sensex one day implied volatility sits near 10 percent against 13.5 last week, the straddle costs about 374 rupees, and overnight the call writers pressed 24 lakh fresh contracts onto the 77,000 strike, taking it to 25.4 lakh against 17 lakh puts. Max pain sits at 77,000, ninety points above a spot that just closed below the round number for the first time this slide, with fresh put support at 76,900 and 76,500 and the next resistance at 77,500. The put call ratio reads 0.57. Complacency is where the fireworks live, and the rules stand after three auditions: the indicative is not the close, nothing market on close, fla ...