E628 The 18,855-Cow Permit and a 92¢ Formula Change Your Lender’s Already Run
The Bullvine Daily Brief by The Bullvine
Episode notes
Your lender has already run this math. A federal formula change pulled 92¢/cwt out of Class III last June — $88,320 a year on 400 cows, with no line item on the statement.
The Bullvine Podcast breaks down what USDA's June 2025 make-allowance change actually did to your milk check, and why it matters more than the 18,855-cow permit Minnesota just approved near Morris. American Farm Bureau measured the first three months: Class III down 92¢, Class IV down 85¢, $337 million out of pool value. Then we run it against a debt-service coverage ratio — where a comfortable-looking 1.1x quietly becomes 0.95x.
What You'll Learn
- Why 240 cwt per cow turns 92¢ into $88,320 — and $154,560 at 700 cows
- How a 1.1x coverage ratio drops below the covenant line without a single management mistake
- Why budgeting off USDA's $18.95 a ...
Keywords
dairy cost of productionmilk price forecast 2026make allowance Class IIIdairy farm consolidation 2026debt service coverage ratioRiverview dairy expansionmega dairy permit