When the Iceberg Starts to Drift
Analyzing Trends by scenarioDNA
Episode notes
The mood of 2026 is friction at the surface. Reforms stall. Institutions grow brittle. Feeds fill with minor ruptures that never quite resolve. People talk about uncertainty, burnout, quiet cracking, but these are not abstract signals buried beneath events. They appear in work chats, neighborhood group texts, mutual-aid spreadsheets, and the steady accumulation of small adaptations. In that kind of world, the reassuring clarity of the iceberg begins to fail. When so much of the deeper story is already visible in the ways people improvise their lives, the task is less to dive for hidden truths than to learn how to read what is already in front of us.That is the working premise behind Story Systems and Cultural Research. In a recent workshop, a conversation about why foresight so often feels detached from culture brought us back to the relationship ...