Lithium Slump Winners and Losers in the EV Sector
Breaking News To Trading Moves by Shirish Agarwal
Episode notes
Albemarle’s $1B+ Q3 loss as lithium slump deepens — who wins, who loses
WINNERS
U.S. EV makers (battery input deflation supports margins and/or aggressive pricing)
Names: Tesla ($TSLA); General Motors ($GM); Ford ($F)
Why it moves: Lithium is a major driver of battery pack costs; cheaper lithium lowers cost of goods, giving OEMs room to defend margins or cut prices to stimulate demand.
Grid/storage integrators and solar+storage installers (cheaper batteries unlock more deployments)
Names: Fluence Energy ($FLNC); Stem ($STEM); Sunrun ($RUN)
Why it moves: Lower $/kWh improves project returns and attach rates for residential and commercial storage, supporting volume growth for integrators and installers.
Next-gen/battery tech developers (friendlier unit economics while scaling)
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