
We Learned Nothing - Let's do it Again and Knock your SOXX off.
Notas del episodio
Today is Friday, September 18th 2026. Investors often say "I've seen this movie before" for a series of events that reminds them of years ago. A long career isn't required for this action though, as we saw AI infrastructure relentlessly rally through June 2026, only to plummet in July as leverage unwound. Apparently investors liked that movie because we're doing it again here in September.
In my portfolio are companies like H&R Block, which pays a 4.2% dividend, repurchases over 7% of its shares annually, and is growing profits at mid single digits. HRB trades at 6 times next years earnings per share. That's right, a single digit P/E ratio for a growing company.
What didn't work?
Clearly the short-term is against value, so investors' patience is being tested. As I mentioned, the same trades happened in June of this year, with AI infrastructure going up while value went down. I called it a black hole - the gravity of AI infrastructure is attracting capital away from other stocks. It didn't end well in July and I don't think it will end well this time. Until then, value is not working.
Next up is On the Hunting Trail for Value
If you're on the hunting trail, know that you can leave the trail, put your feet up, and make 5% risk free in the US ten year bond. For companies that have little to no profits today but expected to grow significantly in the future, this higher discount rate means their shares should trade lower today. That is not happening and that is the danger I see on the trail.
Wrapping Up:
The AI Infrastructure trade kicked back into high gear this week, but investors who lived through this summer know what happens when the trap door opens. If you let the numbers guide you, there is certainly opportunity in value, but it will take some guts to avoid the FOMO from the growth stocks. Thanks for listening and have a great weekend.
Website: https://frankfunds.com
Brian X Account: https://x.com/bfrankvalue
Performance data quoted represents past performance and does not guarantee future results. The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. You may obtain performance data current to the most recent month-end by calling the Fund at 1-888-217-5426 or visiting our website at www.frankfunds.com. Returns include reinvestment of any dividends and capital gain distributions.
Non-FDIC insured. May lose value. No bank guarantee. The Fund's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses must be considered carefully before investing. The prospectus contains this and other important information about the Fund, and it may be obtained by calling 1-888-217-5426. Please read it carefully before you invest or send money.
This publication does not constitute an offer or solicitation of any transaction in any securities. Any recommendation contained herein may not be suitable for all investors. Information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, but cannot be guaranteed.
The information in this portfolio manager letter represents the opinions of the individual portfolio managers and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, a guarantee of future results or investment advice. Also, please note that any discussion of the Fund's holdings, the Fund's performance, and the portfolio managers' views are as of the date of this recording and are subject to change without notice.