In this video, we dive into the “January Barometer,” a market indicator that suggests if the S&P 500 has a positive January, the market is likely to finish the year with gains. After the S&P 500 started 2025 strong with a 2.7% gain in January, we took a closer look at how this trend has played out historically.

Key takeaways:

- The S&P 500 has had a positive January 54% of the time since 1928.

- When January is positive, the market finishes the year up 87% of the time with an average return of 17.2%.

- In years when January is negative, the market is only positive 57% of the time, with an average return of 5.5%.

- Historical trends suggest reason for optimism in 2025, but we are prepared for market volatility.

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