If nothing is guaranteed, and everything is possible, how then do we make good decisions?

Ever met someone who seems like they know what they are doing, only to realise they were making it up all along?

This week we explore a few ways to think about Confidence.

Stephen's Supplemental Song Suggestion:

Shakka - Strength of an Ox

End Quote:

Argue as if you were right, but listen as if you were wrong - Bob Sutton

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:00:53 - Confidence (Likelihood)

00:35:44 - Confidence (Competence)

00:48:00 - Spotting False Confidence

01:01:33 - Outro