🎙️ EP 79: Can AI See the Future? How o3-Mini Crushed Human Traders

AI Fire Daily by AIFire.co

Episode notes

This episode’s gonna mess with your brain a little. Can AI actually predict real-world events — not just pattern-match the past? Turns out… yes. We look at how an OpenAI model turned $1 into $9 on a live bet. Plus, the AI world just got a major shock: China dropped a 685B open-source monster with zero hype — and it’s already beating Claude 4 in real benchmarks.

We’ll talk about:

  • Why Prophet Arena might be the most honest AI test ever
  • How o3-mini outperformed GPT-5 in money-making
  • The open-source DeepSeek V3.1 model that just rocked Hugging Face
  • What it means when models bet differently on the 2028 election than actual polls

Keywords: forecasting AI, Prophet Arena, o3-mini, DeepSeek V3.1, GPT-5, Claude 4, LLM benchmarks, open so ... 

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Keywords
GPT-5Open Source AIClaude 4.0forecasting AIDeepSeek V3.1o3-miniProphet ArenaLLM benchmarks